← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1William and Mary0.37+3.49vs Predicted
-
2Christopher Newport University1.89+0.30vs Predicted
-
3Christopher Newport University1.71-0.43vs Predicted
-
4Virginia Tech1.15-0.73vs Predicted
-
5Virginia Tech1.15-1.73vs Predicted
-
6Catholic University of America-0.34-0.24vs Predicted
-
7University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.48-0.98vs Predicted
-
8William and Mary-0.81-1.35vs Predicted
-
9Penn State University-2.41-0.08vs Predicted
-
10American University-0.92-3.20vs Predicted
-
11St. John's College-1.81-2.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.49William and Mary0.370.1%1st Place
-
2.3Christopher Newport University1.890.3%1st Place
-
2.57Christopher Newport University1.710.3%1st Place
-
3.27Virginia Tech1.150.2%1st Place
-
3.27Virginia Tech1.150.2%1st Place
-
5.76Catholic University of America-0.340.0%1st Place
-
6.02University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.480.0%1st Place
-
6.65William and Mary-0.810.0%1st Place
-
8.92Penn State University-2.410.0%1st Place
-
6.8American University-0.920.0%1st Place
-
8.21St. John's College-1.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Chapin | 8.5% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 17.2% | 17.8% | 15.0% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Charney | 34.6% | 26.8% | 21.4% | 10.7% | 4.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Attardi | 28.0% | 26.4% | 20.7% | 14.6% | 7.1% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Brady | 15.8% | 19.2% | 22.1% | 22.0% | 11.3% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Brady | 15.8% | 19.2% | 22.1% | 22.0% | 11.3% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grace Wagner | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 13.7% | 18.4% | 19.0% | 12.9% | 7.2% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Thompson | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 15.4% | 17.9% | 16.7% | 16.0% | 8.9% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Nina Willms | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 7.4% | 12.5% | 14.5% | 19.4% | 18.6% | 14.6% | 5.3% | 0.0% |
| Kristian Sonsteby | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 9.5% | 20.9% | 54.3% | 0.0% |
| Will Sellers | 2.2% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 17.7% | 21.9% | 15.2% | 7.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Cooper | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 14.5% | 31.4% | 28.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.