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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.71+1.30vs Predicted
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2Catholic University of America-0.34+3.18vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University1.89-0.88vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.48+1.45vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech1.15-2.05vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech1.15-3.05vs Predicted
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7St. John's College-1.11-0.52vs Predicted
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8American University-0.92-1.83vs Predicted
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9William and Mary-1.54-1.81vs Predicted
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10William and Mary-2.50-1.38vs Predicted
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11Penn State University-2.41-2.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.3Christopher Newport University1.710.3%1st Place
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5.18Catholic University of America-0.340.1%1st Place
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2.12Christopher Newport University1.890.4%1st Place
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5.45University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.480.0%1st Place
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2.95Virginia Tech1.150.2%1st Place
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2.95Virginia Tech1.150.2%1st Place
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6.48St. John's College-1.110.0%1st Place
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6.17American University-0.920.0%1st Place
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7.19William and Mary-1.540.0%1st Place
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8.62William and Mary-2.500.0%1st Place
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8.52Penn State University-2.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Attardi | 32.6% | 29.5% | 21.4% | 10.3% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Wagner | 5.3% | 4.2% | 8.8% | 16.8% | 20.7% | 18.3% | 13.5% | 9.0% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Charney | 35.1% | 33.7% | 19.2% | 8.9% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Thompson | 2.8% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 15.7% | 19.8% | 20.0% | 15.8% | 9.4% | 4.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Brady | 17.9% | 21.1% | 28.4% | 19.0% | 9.4% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Brady | 17.9% | 21.1% | 28.4% | 19.0% | 9.4% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Monday | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 15.9% | 18.0% | 17.9% | 13.6% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| Will Sellers | 1.9% | 1.9% | 5.5% | 10.6% | 14.3% | 19.4% | 19.7% | 15.5% | 9.1% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Diana Haemer | 1.1% | 1.1% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 14.9% | 22.4% | 19.2% | 10.7% | 0.0% |
| August Williams | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 26.4% | 42.0% | 0.0% |
| Kristian Sonsteby | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 8.4% | 14.0% | 24.9% | 39.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.