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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech1.79+0.97vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University1.36+0.42vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.22+0.96vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech1.79-2.03vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.18+1.23vs Predicted
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6William and Mary0.49-2.53vs Predicted
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7St. John's College-1.25-0.70vs Predicted
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8William and Mary-1.32-1.52vs Predicted
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9American University-1.93-1.56vs Predicted
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10Penn State University-2.19-2.12vs Predicted
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11Catholic University of America-2.91-2.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.97Virginia Tech1.790.4%1st Place
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2.42Christopher Newport University1.360.3%1st Place
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3.96Christopher Newport University0.220.1%1st Place
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1.97Virginia Tech1.790.4%1st Place
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6.23University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.180.0%1st Place
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3.47William and Mary0.490.1%1st Place
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6.3St. John's College-1.250.0%1st Place
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6.48William and Mary-1.320.0%1st Place
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7.44American University-1.930.0%1st Place
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7.88Penn State University-2.190.0%1st Place
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8.85Catholic University of America-2.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Bay | 44.1% | 30.0% | 14.4% | 8.4% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samara Leith | 27.4% | 30.8% | 22.9% | 12.7% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Kilgore | 9.4% | 10.8% | 18.6% | 23.4% | 19.9% | 11.8% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Bay | 44.1% | 30.0% | 14.4% | 8.4% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Danyte Reisinger | 1.7% | 2.7% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 15.2% | 18.9% | 20.1% | 16.0% | 8.9% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Emma Purinton | 11.4% | 17.9% | 22.7% | 24.6% | 12.2% | 7.7% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Cumiskey | 2.5% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 14.2% | 17.2% | 17.8% | 16.3% | 12.1% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Dillon Coppersmith | 1.6% | 1.7% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 14.2% | 17.3% | 20.9% | 16.7% | 11.4% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Anderson | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 7.7% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 19.9% | 22.0% | 14.2% | 0.0% |
| Charles Jr. Blair | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 13.0% | 17.6% | 26.0% | 22.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Mortin | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 11.2% | 19.0% | 52.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.