Race 2B

colony-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Bryan Bay 44.6% 28.7% 15.5% 7.5% 3.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Samara Leith 27.7% 29.8% 24.1% 11.1% 5.3% 1.2% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bryan Bay 44.6% 28.7% 15.5% 7.5% 3.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Laura Kilgore 9.4% 11.2% 17.1% 24.3% 19.9% 12.1% 3.6% 1.9% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Emma Purinton 9.3% 18.3% 23.6% 22.2% 16.3% 6.6% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Danyte Reisinger 2.7% 3.5% 5.7% 9.0% 12.9% 18.0% 19.9% 16.5% 8.6% 3.2% 0.0%
Kelsey Cumiskey 2.7% 3.7% 4.7% 7.8% 13.6% 17.3% 18.7% 16.1% 12.0% 3.4% 0.0%
Dillon Coppersmith 1.5% 2.0% 3.8% 8.1% 14.1% 18.0% 20.7% 16.6% 11.6% 3.6% 0.0%
Stephen Anderson 0.7% 1.7% 2.8% 3.9% 7.6% 12.5% 14.1% 21.5% 21.4% 13.8% 0.0%
Samuel Mortin 0.8% 0.2% 0.9% 1.4% 2.8% 4.2% 6.7% 9.9% 18.2% 54.9% 0.0%
Charles Jr. Blair 0.6% 0.9% 1.8% 4.7% 4.4% 9.6% 12.5% 16.8% 27.6% 21.1% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.