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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.53+1.24vs Predicted
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2Clemson University-0.11+2.91vs Predicted
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3The Citadel-0.27+2.28vs Predicted
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4Duke University-1.61+4.74vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.68+3.75vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina-0.46-0.03vs Predicted
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7Vanderbilt University-1.74+1.95vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University0.47-4.33vs Predicted
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9Vanderbilt University-1.48-0.79vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.12-0.20vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University-0.27-5.89vs Predicted
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12University of Georgia-2.16-1.99vs Predicted
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13University of South Carolina-1.93-3.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.24North Carolina State University1.5340.0%1st Place
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4.91Clemson University-0.119.2%1st Place
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5.28The Citadel-0.277.2%1st Place
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8.74Duke University-1.612.1%1st Place
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8.75University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.681.8%1st Place
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5.97University of North Carolina-0.466.0%1st Place
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8.95Vanderbilt University-1.742.2%1st Place
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3.67North Carolina State University0.4716.5%1st Place
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8.21Vanderbilt University-1.482.1%1st Place
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9.8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.121.2%1st Place
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5.11North Carolina State University-0.278.9%1st Place
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10.01University of Georgia-2.161.1%1st Place
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9.36University of South Carolina-1.931.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Usher | 40.0% | 27.8% | 14.9% | 8.4% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Neil Bunce | 9.2% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Bradlee Anderson | 7.2% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| William Robertson | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 9.9% |
| Abbi Barnette | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 13.3% | 9.2% |
| May Proctor | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Pablo Ginorio | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 13.1% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 10.9% |
| Marc Hauenstein | 16.5% | 16.8% | 18.9% | 16.4% | 12.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mira Singh | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 8.7% | 6.3% |
| Cade Boguslaw | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 16.4% | 22.8% |
| Oscar Lubliner | 8.9% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| William Adams | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 13.5% | 16.9% | 24.9% |
| Sam Lookadoo | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 15.7% | 15.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.