← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Salve Regina University3.36+5.90vs Predicted
-
2Connecticut College3.68+3.77vs Predicted
-
3Bates College2.43+6.94vs Predicted
-
4Boston University3.63+2.02vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63-1.62vs Predicted
-
6Dartmouth College3.23+1.43vs Predicted
-
7Boston College3.51-0.52vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University3.41-1.17vs Predicted
-
9Northeastern University2.84-0.37vs Predicted
-
10University of Vermont3.39-3.07vs Predicted
-
11University of Rhode Island3.07-3.08vs Predicted
-
12Bowdoin College2.89-3.22vs Predicted
-
13Middlebury College1.53-0.52vs Predicted
-
14University of Connecticut2.51-4.27vs Predicted
-
15Maine Maritime Academy1.32-2.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.9Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
-
5.77Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
-
9.94Bates College2.430.0%1st Place
-
6.02Boston University3.630.1%1st Place
-
3.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.3%1st Place
-
7.43Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
-
6.48Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
-
6.83Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
-
8.63Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
-
6.93University of Vermont3.390.1%1st Place
-
7.92University of Rhode Island3.070.1%1st Place
-
8.78Bowdoin College2.890.0%1st Place
-
12.48Middlebury College1.530.0%1st Place
-
9.73University of Connecticut2.510.0%1st Place
-
12.78Maine Maritime Academy1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Carney | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Maggie Shea | 9.5% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Tommy Holmberg | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 14.4% | 6.1% |
| Daniel Perkins | 9.3% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Samuel Ingham | 25.7% | 19.3% | 16.4% | 12.7% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| John Meleney | 8.0% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Conor Lodge | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 5.7% | 2.3% |
| Mackenzie Spencer | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Weston Barlow | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.0% |
| Jeff Goodrich | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 2.3% |
| Sean Willerford | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 11.1% | 23.8% | 33.8% |
| Sean Andrew | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 6.0% |
| Lucas Campbell | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 19.8% | 42.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.