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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.36+1.38vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech1.79-0.08vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech1.79-1.08vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University0.22-0.15vs Predicted
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5William and Mary0.49-1.56vs Predicted
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6American University-1.93+1.13vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-2.91+1.60vs Predicted
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8Penn State University-2.19-0.32vs Predicted
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9William and Mary-1.32-2.81vs Predicted
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10St. John's College-2.27-2.21vs Predicted
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11University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.18-5.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.38Christopher Newport University1.360.3%1st Place
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1.92Virginia Tech1.790.4%1st Place
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1.92Virginia Tech1.790.4%1st Place
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3.85Christopher Newport University0.220.1%1st Place
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3.44William and Mary0.490.1%1st Place
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7.13American University-1.930.0%1st Place
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8.6Catholic University of America-2.910.0%1st Place
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7.68Penn State University-2.190.0%1st Place
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6.19William and Mary-1.320.0%1st Place
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7.79St. John's College-2.270.0%1st Place
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6.0University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samara Leith | 30.0% | 30.4% | 21.1% | 11.4% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Bay | 44.2% | 30.6% | 17.3% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Bay | 44.2% | 30.6% | 17.3% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Kilgore | 9.4% | 10.7% | 19.3% | 26.9% | 18.9% | 10.4% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Purinton | 9.4% | 18.5% | 25.1% | 23.9% | 14.5% | 6.0% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Anderson | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 16.1% | 21.0% | 18.6% | 10.3% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Mortin | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 20.0% | 46.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Jr. Blair | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 12.3% | 14.5% | 20.9% | 22.3% | 17.3% | 0.0% |
| Dillon Coppersmith | 1.6% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 8.7% | 16.0% | 19.5% | 20.5% | 13.9% | 9.1% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Charles Carpenter | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 15.1% | 19.1% | 22.1% | 21.3% | 0.0% |
| Danyte Reisinger | 1.8% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 10.4% | 15.9% | 21.9% | 18.7% | 12.4% | 7.8% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.