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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.36+1.31vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech1.79-0.12vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.71+0.07vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.18+1.86vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech1.79-3.12vs Predicted
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6American University-1.93+1.07vs Predicted
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7William and Mary-0.76-1.91vs Predicted
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8St. John's College-1.25-2.00vs Predicted
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9Penn State University-2.19-1.48vs Predicted
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10Catholic University of America-2.91-1.35vs Predicted
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11William and Mary-2.18-3.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.31Christopher Newport University1.360.3%1st Place
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1.88Virginia Tech1.790.4%1st Place
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3.07Christopher Newport University0.710.1%1st Place
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5.86University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.180.0%1st Place
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1.88Virginia Tech1.790.4%1st Place
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7.07American University-1.930.0%1st Place
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5.09William and Mary-0.760.0%1st Place
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6.0St. John's College-1.250.0%1st Place
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7.52Penn State University-2.190.0%1st Place
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8.65Catholic University of America-2.910.0%1st Place
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7.55William and Mary-2.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samara Leith | 30.7% | 30.7% | 23.0% | 10.3% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Bay | 43.6% | 33.7% | 16.3% | 4.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Hurst | 14.5% | 20.1% | 29.7% | 21.7% | 10.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Danyte Reisinger | 1.7% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 13.4% | 17.1% | 18.5% | 19.5% | 11.3% | 6.8% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Bay | 43.6% | 33.7% | 16.3% | 4.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Anderson | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 14.9% | 18.0% | 19.5% | 11.7% | 0.0% |
| Alba Fernandez | 4.3% | 6.0% | 9.8% | 17.0% | 22.4% | 16.1% | 13.5% | 7.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Cumiskey | 1.8% | 2.3% | 4.9% | 12.7% | 18.2% | 19.7% | 16.7% | 13.8% | 7.6% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Charles Jr. Blair | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 18.6% | 21.2% | 18.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Mortin | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 12.0% | 19.6% | 47.5% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Raymond | 0.8% | 0.4% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 13.5% | 18.7% | 22.9% | 17.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.