Race 6B

colony-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Bryan Bay 46.2% 30.7% 14.7% 6.0% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Samara Leith 29.1% 33.9% 22.7% 10.3% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bailey Hurst 15.3% 18.7% 31.0% 21.5% 9.1% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bryan Bay 46.2% 30.7% 14.7% 6.0% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alba Fernandez 2.4% 4.9% 9.5% 20.4% 22.4% 17.5% 11.5% 8.7% 2.1% 0.6% 0.0%
Danyte Reisinger 2.8% 4.0% 7.2% 11.6% 17.3% 18.3% 17.0% 12.5% 7.1% 2.2% 0.0%
Stephen Anderson 0.8% 3.1% 2.8% 6.1% 9.5% 11.4% 16.8% 17.6% 20.0% 11.9% 0.0%
Kelsey Cumiskey 1.8% 2.1% 5.6% 12.4% 19.0% 17.9% 16.9% 14.3% 7.2% 2.8% 0.0%
Charles Jr. Blair 0.6% 1.1% 2.6% 5.3% 7.4% 11.8% 13.7% 18.4% 22.3% 16.8% 0.0%
Sarah Raymond 0.8% 1.0% 2.8% 4.2% 6.8% 12.4% 14.6% 17.0% 22.7% 17.7% 0.0%
Samuel Mortin 0.2% 0.5% 1.1% 2.2% 3.4% 6.4% 8.3% 11.3% 18.6% 48.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.