Race 7B

colony-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Bryan Bay 47.4% 30.2% 15.0% 6.1% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bailey Hurst 15.0% 20.3% 33.5% 19.9% 7.8% 2.5% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Samara Leith 28.4% 34.9% 24.0% 9.5% 2.7% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bryan Bay 47.4% 30.2% 15.0% 6.1% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Danyte Reisinger 1.9% 3.5% 5.8% 14.4% 21.0% 21.0% 16.0% 10.0% 4.2% 2.2% 0.0%
Sarah Raymond 1.3% 1.5% 3.1% 5.6% 10.3% 11.8% 13.4% 18.7% 20.2% 14.1% 0.0%
Stephen Anderson 1.2% 2.5% 3.0% 7.0% 11.6% 15.2% 18.8% 14.0% 17.1% 9.6% 0.0%
Charles Carpenter 0.8% 0.8% 1.8% 5.0% 8.5% 11.8% 16.8% 18.1% 19.8% 16.6% 0.0%
Charles Jr. Blair 0.6% 1.3% 2.5% 5.7% 9.3% 14.3% 13.3% 19.3% 19.2% 14.5% 0.0%
Alba Fernandez 3.1% 4.5% 9.9% 24.1% 22.6% 16.9% 11.0% 5.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Samuel Mortin 0.3% 0.5% 1.4% 2.7% 4.9% 6.0% 9.8% 13.9% 17.9% 42.6% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.