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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.48+7.79vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston4.09+4.36vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.48+5.94vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.17+6.25vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.60+8.02vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+1.57vs Predicted
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7Yale University4.08-0.66vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.38+1.49vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.24+0.66vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.70+2.23vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.82+0.82vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.94-0.40vs Predicted
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13Fordham University3.52-4.64vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College3.21-3.88vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.75-3.12vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University2.21-1.79vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-4.48vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island3.84-10.84vs Predicted
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19Bowdoin College3.18-9.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.79Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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6.36College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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8.94Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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10.25U. S. Naval Academy3.170.0%1st Place
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13.02Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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7.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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6.34Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.49Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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9.66Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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12.23University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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11.82Tufts University2.820.0%1st Place
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11.6Roger Williams University2.940.0%1st Place
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8.36Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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10.12Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
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11.88Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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14.21Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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12.52Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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7.16University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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9.7Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Shanahan | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 11.4% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Harry Koeppel | 6.4% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% |
| Michael Madigan | 3.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 13.0% |
| Ty Ingram | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Ian Barrows | 9.9% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Robert Floyd | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% |
| Ravi Parent | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.6% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 9.2% |
| Jack Bitney | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 7.8% |
| Michael Gemperline | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% |
| Will Holz | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.5% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 10.3% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 1.3% | 1.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 12.9% | 25.1% |
| Bailey Carter | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 12.0% | 11.3% |
| Rachel Bryer | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Jack McGuire | 5.0% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.