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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.84+6.32vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+5.66vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.21+7.15vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.48+4.82vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.08+1.57vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.38+3.18vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.17+3.26vs Predicted
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8Fordham University3.52+0.89vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.24+0.70vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.70+2.25vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.94+0.24vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston4.09-5.53vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University2.21+1.04vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.60-1.10vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-2.59vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.48-7.34vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.75-4.94vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College3.18-7.96vs Predicted
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19Tufts University2.82-7.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.32University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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7.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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10.15Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
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8.82Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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6.57Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.18Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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10.26U. S. Naval Academy3.170.0%1st Place
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8.89Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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9.7Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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12.25University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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11.24Roger Williams University2.940.0%1st Place
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6.47College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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14.04Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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12.9Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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12.41Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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8.66Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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12.06Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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10.04Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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11.37Tufts University2.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% |
| Ty Ingram | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% |
| Harry Koeppel | 5.5% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Ian Barrows | 8.9% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Robert Floyd | 6.3% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% |
| Michael Madigan | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.2% |
| Will Holz | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| Ravi Parent | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 8.8% |
| Michael Gemperline | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 10.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 23.1% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 13.3% |
| Bailey Carter | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 13.2% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 11.6% | 9.1% |
| Jack McGuire | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 2.9% |
| Jack Bitney | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.