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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.53+1.22vs Predicted
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2Clemson University-0.11+2.93vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina-0.46+3.04vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University0.47-0.32vs Predicted
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5Duke University-1.61+3.70vs Predicted
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6The Citadel-0.27-0.81vs Predicted
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7Vanderbilt University-1.48+1.27vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.68+0.80vs Predicted
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9Vanderbilt University-1.74-0.11vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University-0.27-4.88vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.12-1.21vs Predicted
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12University of South Carolina-1.93-2.54vs Predicted
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13University of Georgia-2.16-3.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.22North Carolina State University1.5341.5%1st Place
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4.93Clemson University-0.118.1%1st Place
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6.04University of North Carolina-0.465.3%1st Place
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3.68North Carolina State University0.4714.6%1st Place
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8.7Duke University-1.612.6%1st Place
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5.19The Citadel-0.278.7%1st Place
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8.27Vanderbilt University-1.482.2%1st Place
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8.8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.682.3%1st Place
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8.89Vanderbilt University-1.741.4%1st Place
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5.12North Carolina State University-0.279.1%1st Place
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9.79University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.121.5%1st Place
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9.46University of South Carolina-1.931.4%1st Place
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9.91University of Georgia-2.161.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Usher | 41.5% | 26.1% | 14.4% | 9.8% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Neil Bunce | 8.1% | 11.6% | 14.4% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| May Proctor | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Marc Hauenstein | 14.6% | 20.1% | 18.4% | 15.3% | 12.4% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Robertson | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 10.0% |
| Bradlee Anderson | 8.7% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Mira Singh | 2.2% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 7.2% |
| Abbi Barnette | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 14.8% | 13.1% | 9.8% |
| Pablo Ginorio | 1.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 11.3% |
| Oscar Lubliner | 9.1% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 14.6% | 13.7% | 13.1% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Cade Boguslaw | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 14.4% | 17.1% | 20.1% |
| Sam Lookadoo | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 13.6% | 14.2% | 15.4% | 16.4% |
| William Adams | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 13.1% | 16.4% | 24.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.