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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.08+5.36vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+5.68vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston4.09+3.36vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.24+5.95vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.60+8.04vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.82+5.58vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.84+0.39vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.38+1.52vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.48-0.39vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College3.18+0.11vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.75+1.07vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+0.99vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College3.21-3.23vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy3.17-3.64vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University2.21-1.00vs Predicted
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16Fordham University3.52-7.47vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont2.70-4.76vs Predicted
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18Brown University3.48-9.39vs Predicted
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19Roger Williams University2.94-8.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.36Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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7.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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6.36College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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9.95Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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13.04Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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11.58Tufts University2.820.0%1st Place
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7.39University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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9.52Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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8.61Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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10.11Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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12.07Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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12.99Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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9.77Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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10.36U. S. Naval Academy3.170.0%1st Place
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14.0Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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8.53Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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12.24University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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8.61Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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10.84Roger Williams University2.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Barrows | 9.7% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Ty Ingram | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 11.9% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ravi Parent | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.4% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 13.2% |
| Jack Bitney | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 9.9% |
| Rachel Bryer | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Robert Floyd | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% |
| Harry Koeppel | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Jack McGuire | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.3% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.6% |
| Bailey Carter | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 12.4% | 12.6% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% |
| Michael Madigan | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 2.9% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 25.3% |
| Will Holz | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 9.0% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Michael Gemperline | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.