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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University3.52+7.63vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.48+6.84vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.48+5.95vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston4.09+2.26vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.84+2.51vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.70+6.20vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.24+3.00vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-0.16vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.38+0.07vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.94+1.18vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.82+0.75vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.17-1.43vs Predicted
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13Yale University4.08-6.87vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.75-1.82vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College3.21-5.10vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-3.50vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University2.21-2.87vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College3.18-7.98vs Predicted
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19Northeastern University2.60-6.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.63Fordham University3.520.0%1st Place
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8.84Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.95Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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6.26College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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7.51University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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12.2University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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10.0Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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7.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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9.07Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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11.18Roger Williams University2.940.0%1st Place
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11.75Tufts University2.820.0%1st Place
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10.57U. S. Naval Academy3.170.0%1st Place
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6.13Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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12.18Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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9.9Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
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12.5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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14.13Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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10.02Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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12.33Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Holz | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Harry Koeppel | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 10.3% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Rachel Bryer | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 11.9% |
| Ravi Parent | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.6% |
| Ty Ingram | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Robert Floyd | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% |
| Michael Gemperline | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 4.8% |
| Jack Bitney | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 6.9% |
| Michael Madigan | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.4% |
| Ian Barrows | 11.3% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.9% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.4% |
| Bailey Carter | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 11.2% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 26.1% |
| Jack McGuire | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 10.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.