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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.09+5.36vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.24+7.98vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.08+3.43vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.82+7.85vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+7.88vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.94+5.07vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+0.67vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.48+1.10vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.75+2.81vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College3.21-0.09vs Predicted
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11Fordham University3.52-2.41vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University2.21+2.63vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College3.18-3.10vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.48-5.08vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.70-2.91vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island3.84-8.82vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.60-4.31vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy3.17-7.90vs Predicted
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19Dartmouth College3.38-10.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.36College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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9.98Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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6.43Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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11.85Tufts University2.820.0%1st Place
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12.88Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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11.07Roger Williams University2.940.0%1st Place
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7.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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9.1Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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11.81Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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9.91Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
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8.59Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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14.63Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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9.9Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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8.92Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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12.09University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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7.18University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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12.69Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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10.1U. S. Naval Academy3.170.0%1st Place
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8.84Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefano Peschiera | 9.8% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.6% |
| Ian Barrows | 11.9% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jack Bitney | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% |
| Bailey Carter | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 11.8% |
| Michael Gemperline | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% |
| Ty Ingram | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Harry Koeppel | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.3% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.0% |
| Will Holz | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 27.8% |
| Jack McGuire | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 10.7% |
| Rachel Bryer | 8.1% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 11.8% |
| Michael Madigan | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.0% |
| Robert Floyd | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.