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📊 Prediction Accuracy
10.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.08+5.35vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College3.18+8.23vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.48+5.93vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston4.09+2.25vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+7.87vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.75+5.83vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.70+5.33vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.24+2.14vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.82+2.57vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.48-1.32vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.84-3.73vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.60+1.13vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College3.21-3.25vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.94-2.68vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy3.17-4.91vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College3.38-6.83vs Predicted
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17Fordham University3.52-8.36vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University2.21-3.80vs Predicted
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19Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-11.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.35Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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10.23Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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8.93Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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6.25College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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12.87Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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11.83Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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12.33University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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10.14Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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11.57Tufts University2.820.0%1st Place
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8.68Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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7.27University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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13.13Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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9.75Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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11.32Roger Williams University2.940.0%1st Place
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10.09U. S. Naval Academy3.170.1%1st Place
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9.17Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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8.64Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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14.2Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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7.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Barrows | 10.6% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jack McGuire | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 2.5% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 9.8% | 12.6% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 1.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 13.0% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.9% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.6% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% |
| Jack Bitney | 3.0% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% |
| Harry Koeppel | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Rachel Bryer | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 13.2% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% |
| Michael Gemperline | 4.4% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% |
| Michael Madigan | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% |
| Robert Floyd | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Will Holz | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 23.7% |
| Ty Ingram | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.