Race 13A

hatch-brown

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19
Ravi Parent 3.7% 4.4% 5.9% 5.5% 5.0% 6.0% 4.7% 6.0% 5.6% 7.2% 5.6% 5.5% 4.9% 5.7% 5.4% 6.5% 5.3% 4.5% 2.6%
Ian Barrows 12.0% 8.8% 10.1% 10.0% 8.1% 6.7% 7.4% 6.8% 5.9% 5.4% 4.3% 3.0% 4.6% 2.5% 1.7% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.2%
Jack McGuire 4.9% 4.7% 5.4% 3.9% 4.8% 5.5% 5.8% 5.0% 3.4% 4.9% 5.7% 5.8% 7.7% 6.1% 6.7% 5.3% 5.6% 4.8% 4.0%
Rachel Bryer 8.0% 9.8% 6.7% 7.0% 8.2% 7.6% 7.3% 6.2% 8.1% 6.2% 5.6% 5.8% 3.9% 3.1% 2.2% 2.1% 1.6% 0.3% 0.3%
Stefano Peschiera 9.3% 8.8% 11.0% 9.2% 9.4% 7.4% 7.4% 7.8% 5.2% 5.4% 5.2% 3.7% 4.1% 2.4% 1.7% 1.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
Harry Koeppel 6.6% 6.6% 7.2% 4.4% 7.2% 5.5% 6.3% 5.7% 7.4% 5.1% 5.4% 5.0% 5.4% 4.8% 5.2% 4.1% 3.2% 3.4% 1.5%
Bailey Carter 2.9% 3.1% 1.8% 2.4% 3.7% 3.2% 2.9% 4.2% 4.2% 4.1% 3.9% 4.6% 6.0% 6.6% 5.9% 8.7% 10.3% 9.4% 12.1%
Nick Digiovanni 3.4% 2.9% 3.0% 3.1% 2.2% 3.4% 3.8% 4.7% 3.8% 4.7% 4.2% 4.6% 5.9% 6.4% 7.2% 6.8% 10.2% 9.6% 10.1%
Michael Madigan 4.4% 5.9% 4.6% 4.9% 4.8% 5.1% 4.9% 6.3% 6.1% 5.3% 5.9% 5.4% 5.3% 6.7% 6.3% 5.4% 5.1% 4.8% 2.8%
Patrick Shanahan 6.0% 5.9% 6.1% 6.8% 5.8% 6.8% 6.3% 6.4% 5.7% 5.4% 6.3% 7.7% 5.6% 4.1% 5.5% 4.0% 2.5% 2.5% 0.6%
Hugh MacGillivray 3.9% 5.1% 5.4% 5.1% 3.8% 6.1% 5.0% 6.1% 6.5% 5.5% 5.8% 5.7% 7.2% 6.5% 4.4% 6.2% 5.4% 4.1% 2.2%
Jan Kite-Powell 2.8% 2.6% 2.3% 2.4% 2.2% 4.1% 4.1% 2.6% 4.3% 3.4% 4.5% 5.6% 6.3% 5.6% 7.2% 8.0% 11.3% 10.5% 10.2%
Michael Gemperline 4.2% 3.5% 3.8% 4.3% 5.0% 3.9% 4.5% 3.3% 5.1% 5.2% 5.8% 6.1% 5.8% 7.2% 7.2% 6.5% 6.4% 7.0% 5.2%
Jack Bitney 3.8% 2.6% 2.5% 3.3% 3.3% 3.4% 4.2% 4.5% 4.5% 5.4% 5.4% 6.1% 5.6% 5.4% 7.8% 7.1% 8.5% 9.1% 7.5%
Robert Floyd 6.0% 6.0% 5.9% 6.7% 7.2% 5.3% 5.1% 5.8% 4.1% 6.2% 6.6% 5.2% 4.8% 5.2% 4.9% 5.4% 3.9% 3.5% 2.2%
Sean Beaulieu 1.2% 1.5% 2.0% 2.3% 2.3% 3.0% 2.1% 3.1% 2.6% 3.3% 3.7% 4.1% 4.3% 5.2% 6.8% 6.2% 8.5% 12.8% 25.0%
Ty Ingram 7.4% 8.7% 8.5% 7.6% 7.5% 7.1% 7.0% 5.5% 6.7% 6.0% 4.8% 5.1% 4.3% 4.1% 3.6% 3.2% 1.9% 0.9% 0.1%
Jackson Hamilton 2.0% 2.1% 2.9% 3.3% 2.9% 3.1% 4.3% 3.1% 4.3% 5.2% 5.1% 6.0% 4.4% 6.3% 6.8% 8.6% 6.6% 10.5% 12.5%
Will Holz 7.5% 7.0% 4.9% 7.8% 6.6% 6.8% 6.9% 6.9% 6.5% 6.1% 6.2% 5.0% 3.9% 6.1% 3.5% 3.2% 2.4% 1.9% 0.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.