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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+6.63vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.48+6.86vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.18+7.26vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.60+8.80vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston4.09+1.52vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.17+4.13vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+5.58vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.38+1.51vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.24+0.65vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.94+1.16vs Predicted
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11Fordham University3.52-2.41vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.84-4.50vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College3.21-3.31vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.75-1.73vs Predicted
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15Yale University4.08-8.71vs Predicted
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16Boston College3.48-7.34vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.82-5.24vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont2.70-5.75vs Predicted
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19Salve Regina University2.21-5.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.63Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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8.86Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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10.26Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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12.8Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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6.52College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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10.13U. S. Naval Academy3.170.1%1st Place
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12.58Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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9.51Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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9.65Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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11.16Roger Williams University2.940.0%1st Place
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8.59Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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7.5University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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9.69Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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12.27Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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6.29Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.66Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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11.76Tufts University2.820.0%1st Place
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12.25University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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13.89Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Ingram | 6.6% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% |
| Jack McGuire | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 12.0% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 9.1% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Michael Madigan | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% |
| Bailey Carter | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 11.6% |
| Robert Floyd | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 2.2% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% |
| Michael Gemperline | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% |
| Will Holz | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Rachel Bryer | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 11.0% | 10.2% |
| Ian Barrows | 13.3% | 12.0% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Harry Koeppel | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Jack Bitney | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.0% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 10.5% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 2.0% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 12.8% | 22.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.