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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.53+1.22vs Predicted
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2Clemson University-0.11+2.87vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina-0.46+2.88vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University-0.27+1.15vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University0.47-1.34vs Predicted
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6The Citadel-0.27-0.80vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.68+1.83vs Predicted
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8Vanderbilt University-1.48+0.39vs Predicted
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9Vanderbilt University-1.74-0.05vs Predicted
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10Duke University-1.61-1.26vs Predicted
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11University of South Carolina-1.93-1.65vs Predicted
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12University of Georgia-2.16-2.06vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.12-3.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.22North Carolina State University1.5340.5%1st Place
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4.87Clemson University-0.118.9%1st Place
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5.88University of North Carolina-0.465.8%1st Place
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5.15North Carolina State University-0.278.2%1st Place
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3.66North Carolina State University0.4716.6%1st Place
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5.2The Citadel-0.278.8%1st Place
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8.83University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.682.1%1st Place
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8.39Vanderbilt University-1.482.1%1st Place
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8.95Vanderbilt University-1.741.7%1st Place
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8.74Duke University-1.611.7%1st Place
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9.35University of South Carolina-1.931.5%1st Place
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9.94University of Georgia-2.161.1%1st Place
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9.8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.121.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Usher | 40.5% | 26.1% | 16.1% | 9.7% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Neil Bunce | 8.9% | 11.9% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| May Proctor | 5.8% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% |
| Oscar Lubliner | 8.2% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Marc Hauenstein | 16.6% | 19.2% | 17.9% | 14.2% | 12.4% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bradlee Anderson | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Abbi Barnette | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 11.3% |
| Mira Singh | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 6.7% |
| Pablo Ginorio | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 11.6% |
| William Robertson | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 9.8% |
| Sam Lookadoo | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 14.8% | 15.8% |
| William Adams | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 14.2% | 17.0% | 23.2% |
| Cade Boguslaw | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 17.3% | 20.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.