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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.51+5.40vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.63+3.94vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.23+4.26vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont3.39+2.79vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.07+3.00vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63-2.64vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.68-1.13vs Predicted
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8Bates College2.43+2.02vs Predicted
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9University of Connecticut2.51+0.77vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.41-3.10vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.84-2.29vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University3.36-4.78vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College1.53-0.49vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy1.32-1.16vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.89-6.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.4Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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5.94Boston University3.630.1%1st Place
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7.26Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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6.79University of Vermont3.390.1%1st Place
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8.0University of Rhode Island3.070.1%1st Place
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3.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.2%1st Place
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5.87Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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10.02Bates College2.430.0%1st Place
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9.77University of Connecticut2.510.0%1st Place
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6.9Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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8.71Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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7.22Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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12.51Middlebury College1.530.0%1st Place
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12.84Maine Maritime Academy1.320.0%1st Place
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8.43Bowdoin College2.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Hudson | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% |
| Daniel Perkins | 8.1% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Mackenzie Spencer | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Weston Barlow | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.4% |
| Samuel Ingham | 24.9% | 20.4% | 16.5% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maggie Shea | 10.8% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Tommy Holmberg | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 15.3% | 14.8% | 6.3% |
| Sean Andrew | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 6.2% |
| John Meleney | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Conor Lodge | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 3.6% |
| Kyle Carney | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Sean Willerford | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 11.4% | 23.3% | 34.1% |
| Lucas Campbell | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 20.3% | 41.7% |
| Jeff Goodrich | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 12.9% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.