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📊 Prediction Accuracy
10.5%
Within 2 Positions
5.0
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.75+11.10vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.48+6.92vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.21+7.13vs Predicted
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4Fordham University3.52+4.65vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston4.09+1.50vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.60+6.45vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.38+2.30vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.17+2.46vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.82+2.51vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+2.47vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.48-2.24vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.94-0.36vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-5.66vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.24-4.00vs Predicted
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15Yale University4.08-8.67vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island3.84-8.85vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College3.18-6.82vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University2.21-3.81vs Predicted
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19University of Vermont2.70-7.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.1Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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8.92Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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10.13Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
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8.65Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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6.5College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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12.45Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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9.3Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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10.46U. S. Naval Academy3.170.0%1st Place
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11.51Tufts University2.820.0%1st Place
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12.47Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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8.76Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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11.64Roger Williams University2.940.0%1st Place
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7.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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10.0Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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6.33Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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7.15University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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10.18Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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14.19Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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11.92University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Digiovanni | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.5% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% |
| Will Holz | 6.0% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 9.6% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 13.9% |
| Robert Floyd | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% |
| Michael Madigan | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 3.1% |
| Jack Bitney | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 3.3% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 11.8% | 10.9% |
| Harry Koeppel | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Michael Gemperline | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% |
| Ty Ingram | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Ravi Parent | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% |
| Ian Barrows | 13.0% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Bryer | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Jack McGuire | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 2.8% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 13.7% | 23.1% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.