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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.61+6.61vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.79+9.18vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.01+7.34vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.73+3.08vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.22+4.53vs Predicted
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6Yale University4.24-0.78vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.38+5.89vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.71+3.70vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93+1.33vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.26-1.04vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College3.56-3.24vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.90-0.92vs Predicted
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13Fordham University3.25-4.14vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.62-1.96vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-7.44vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island3.09-6.26vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.39-4.18vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University1.69-2.61vs Predicted
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19Boston University2.97-9.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.61Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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11.18Brown University2.790.0%1st Place
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10.34College of Charleston3.010.0%1st Place
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7.08Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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9.53U. S. Naval Academy3.220.0%1st Place
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5.22Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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12.89Harvard University2.380.0%1st Place
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11.7Connecticut College2.710.0%1st Place
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10.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.0%1st Place
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8.96Tufts University3.260.1%1st Place
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7.76Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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11.08University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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8.86Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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12.04Roger Williams University2.620.0%1st Place
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7.56Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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9.74University of Rhode Island3.090.0%1st Place
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12.82Northeastern University2.390.0%1st Place
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15.39Salve Regina University1.690.0%1st Place
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9.89Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Lalumiere | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Sam Alexander | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% |
| Christophe Killian | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% |
| Charles Sinks | 7.3% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Peter Hogan | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Nicholas Baird | 16.3% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Dylan Farrell | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 11.9% |
| Walter Florio | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 6.1% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% |
| Alexander Tong | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| William Crary | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 3.5% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 3.6% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 7.8% |
| Charles Miller | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Dakota Northrup | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
| John Wehner | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 12.6% |
| Brian Baker | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 13.9% | 35.8% |
| Robby Gearon | 5.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.