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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.24+4.22vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+5.74vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.61+4.70vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.39+8.92vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.62+7.21vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.26+3.05vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.79+4.14vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.01+2.50vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.22+0.04vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.69+5.32vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.73-3.92vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.90-0.93vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.71-1.74vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93-3.34vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.38-2.31vs Predicted
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16Fordham University3.25-6.95vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College3.56-9.28vs Predicted
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18Boston University2.97-7.74vs Predicted
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19University of Rhode Island3.09-9.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.22Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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7.74Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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7.7Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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12.92Northeastern University2.390.0%1st Place
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12.21Roger Williams University2.620.0%1st Place
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9.05Tufts University3.260.1%1st Place
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11.14Brown University2.790.0%1st Place
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10.5College of Charleston3.010.1%1st Place
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9.04U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
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15.32Salve Regina University1.690.0%1st Place
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7.08Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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11.07University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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11.26Connecticut College2.710.0%1st Place
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10.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.0%1st Place
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12.69Harvard University2.380.0%1st Place
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9.05Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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7.72Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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10.26Boston University2.970.0%1st Place
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9.35University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Baird | 13.7% | 14.9% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charles Miller | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 7.0% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| John Wehner | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 12.9% | 11.5% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 7.9% |
| Alexander Tong | 7.1% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.9% |
| Sam Alexander | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 3.9% |
| Christophe Killian | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.7% |
| Peter Hogan | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% |
| Brian Baker | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 13.4% | 36.8% |
| Charles Sinks | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| William Crary | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 3.7% |
| Walter Florio | 4.2% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.3% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.3% |
| Dylan Farrell | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 13.0% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Robby Gearon | 4.0% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.1% |
| Dakota Northrup | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.