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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.24+4.18vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.61+5.66vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.26+6.20vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.73+3.05vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.09+5.11vs Predicted
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6Fordham University3.25+3.12vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College3.56+0.84vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.22+1.54vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University1.69+6.10vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.79+1.04vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.90-0.28vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.71-0.13vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston3.01-2.99vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.38-0.92vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.97-4.78vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.39-3.21vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-9.38vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University2.62-6.18vs Predicted
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19Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93-8.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.18Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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7.66Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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9.2Tufts University3.260.1%1st Place
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7.05Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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10.11University of Rhode Island3.090.0%1st Place
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9.12Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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7.84Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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9.54U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
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15.1Salve Regina University1.690.0%1st Place
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11.04Brown University2.790.0%1st Place
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10.72University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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11.87Connecticut College2.710.0%1st Place
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10.01College of Charleston3.010.1%1st Place
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13.08Harvard University2.380.0%1st Place
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10.22Boston University2.970.0%1st Place
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12.79Northeastern University2.390.0%1st Place
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7.62Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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11.82Roger Williams University2.620.0%1st Place
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10.04Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Baird | 15.2% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Alexander Tong | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% |
| Charles Sinks | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Dakota Northrup | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.5% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.2% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Peter Hogan | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.0% |
| Brian Baker | 0.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 13.9% | 34.3% |
| Sam Alexander | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 3.6% |
| William Crary | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% |
| Walter Florio | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 5.9% |
| Christophe Killian | 5.3% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 2.7% |
| Dylan Farrell | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 13.1% |
| Robby Gearon | 4.6% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% |
| John Wehner | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 13.2% | 11.5% |
| Charles Miller | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 7.6% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.