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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College3.56+6.86vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.26+7.16vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.39+9.89vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.61+3.63vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.22+4.50vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.38+6.71vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+0.82vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.09+2.08vs Predicted
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9Yale University4.24-3.91vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.73-3.13vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.97-0.65vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.71-0.15vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.69+2.16vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93-3.30vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.79-3.97vs Predicted
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16Fordham University3.25-6.99vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont2.90-6.37vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University2.62-6.15vs Predicted
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19College of Charleston3.01-9.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.86Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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9.16Tufts University3.260.1%1st Place
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12.89Northeastern University2.390.0%1st Place
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7.63Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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9.5U. S. Naval Academy3.220.0%1st Place
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12.71Harvard University2.380.0%1st Place
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7.82Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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10.08University of Rhode Island3.090.0%1st Place
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5.09Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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6.87Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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10.35Boston University2.970.0%1st Place
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11.85Connecticut College2.710.0%1st Place
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15.16Salve Regina University1.690.0%1st Place
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10.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.0%1st Place
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11.03Brown University2.790.0%1st Place
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9.01Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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10.63University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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11.85Roger Williams University2.620.0%1st Place
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9.81College of Charleston3.010.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Kaplan | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Alexander Tong | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% |
| John Wehner | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 13.2% | 12.4% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Peter Hogan | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% |
| Dylan Farrell | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 13.3% |
| Charles Miller | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Dakota Northrup | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.6% |
| Nicholas Baird | 16.4% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charles Sinks | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Robby Gearon | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% |
| Walter Florio | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 4.8% |
| Brian Baker | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 14.5% | 35.6% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 3.2% |
| Sam Alexander | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% |
| William Crary | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 3.7% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 6.6% |
| Christophe Killian | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.