← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University3.26+8.10vs Predicted
-
2Boston College3.73+5.06vs Predicted
-
3College of Charleston3.01+7.29vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University2.38+8.95vs Predicted
-
5Bowdoin College3.56+3.05vs Predicted
-
6Dartmouth College3.61+1.49vs Predicted
-
7Connecticut College2.71+4.51vs Predicted
-
8Northeastern University2.39+5.06vs Predicted
-
9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93+1.29vs Predicted
-
10University of Vermont2.90+0.58vs Predicted
-
11University of Rhode Island3.09-1.19vs Predicted
-
12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-4.03vs Predicted
-
13Yale University4.24-7.99vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Naval Academy3.22-4.64vs Predicted
-
15Brown University2.79-4.03vs Predicted
-
16Roger Williams University2.62-4.18vs Predicted
-
17Fordham University3.25-7.93vs Predicted
-
18Boston University2.91-7.42vs Predicted
-
19Salve Regina University1.69-3.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.1Tufts University3.260.0%1st Place
-
7.06Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
-
10.29College of Charleston3.010.1%1st Place
-
12.95Harvard University2.380.0%1st Place
-
8.05Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
-
7.49Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
-
11.51Connecticut College2.710.0%1st Place
-
13.06Northeastern University2.390.0%1st Place
-
10.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.0%1st Place
-
10.58University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
-
9.81University of Rhode Island3.090.0%1st Place
-
7.97Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
-
5.01Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
-
9.36U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
-
10.97Brown University2.790.0%1st Place
-
11.82Roger Williams University2.620.0%1st Place
-
9.07Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
-
10.58Boston University2.910.0%1st Place
-
15.05Salve Regina University1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Tong | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Charles Sinks | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Christophe Killian | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 3.8% |
| Dylan Farrell | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 12.8% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 9.4% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Walter Florio | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% |
| John Wehner | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 13.6% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.1% |
| William Crary | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% |
| Dakota Northrup | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| Charles Miller | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Baird | 15.4% | 13.8% | 14.1% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Hogan | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Sam Alexander | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.4% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 6.7% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Josh Dochoda | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% |
| Brian Baker | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 12.7% | 34.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.