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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.61+6.59vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.26+7.19vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+4.72vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.09+5.85vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.90+5.98vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.91+4.53vs Predicted
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7Yale University4.24-1.85vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.73-0.67vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93+1.33vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College3.56-2.40vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.22-1.81vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.79-0.45vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.62-1.33vs Predicted
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14Fordham University3.25-4.77vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.38-2.31vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.71-4.61vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.39-4.19vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University1.69-2.58vs Predicted
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19College of Charleston3.01-9.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.59Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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9.19Tufts University3.260.1%1st Place
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7.72Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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9.85University of Rhode Island3.090.0%1st Place
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10.98University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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10.53Boston University2.910.0%1st Place
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5.15Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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7.33Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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10.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.0%1st Place
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7.6Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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9.19U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
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11.55Brown University2.790.0%1st Place
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11.67Roger Williams University2.620.0%1st Place
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9.23Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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12.69Harvard University2.380.0%1st Place
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11.39Connecticut College2.710.0%1st Place
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12.81Northeastern University2.390.0%1st Place
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15.42Salve Regina University1.690.0%1st Place
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9.77College of Charleston3.010.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Lalumiere | 6.1% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Alexander Tong | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Charles Miller | 8.7% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Dakota Northrup | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.9% |
| William Crary | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 3.2% |
| Josh Dochoda | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 4.3% |
| Nicholas Baird | 14.1% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charles Sinks | 9.5% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Peter Hogan | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Sam Alexander | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 5.3% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.0% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% |
| Dylan Farrell | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 14.5% |
| Walter Florio | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% |
| John Wehner | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 12.5% | 12.0% |
| Brian Baker | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 13.9% | 34.8% |
| Christophe Killian | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.