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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.24+4.23vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.73+5.14vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+4.77vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.26+5.14vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.71+6.81vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.09+3.73vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.91+3.71vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.62+4.09vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College3.56-1.37vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93+0.43vs Predicted
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11Fordham University3.25-1.90vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.39+1.21vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.90-2.58vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.61-6.34vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.69+0.14vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston3.01-5.93vs Predicted
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17Brown University2.79-5.87vs Predicted
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18Harvard University2.38-5.20vs Predicted
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19U. S. Naval Academy3.22-10.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.23Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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7.14Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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7.77Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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9.14Tufts University3.260.1%1st Place
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11.81Connecticut College2.710.0%1st Place
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9.73University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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10.71Boston University2.910.0%1st Place
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12.09Roger Williams University2.620.0%1st Place
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7.63Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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10.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.0%1st Place
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9.1Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
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13.21Northeastern University2.390.0%1st Place
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10.42University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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7.66Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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15.14Salve Regina University1.690.0%1st Place
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10.07College of Charleston3.010.0%1st Place
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11.13Brown University2.790.0%1st Place
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12.8Harvard University2.380.0%1st Place
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8.8U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Baird | 14.5% | 14.2% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charles Sinks | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Charles Miller | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Alexander Tong | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Walter Florio | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.0% |
| Dakota Northrup | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.5% |
| Josh Dochoda | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.3% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 7.8% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 1.7% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| John Wehner | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 12.0% |
| William Crary | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Brian Baker | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 11.4% | 37.5% |
| Christophe Killian | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.9% |
| Sam Alexander | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 4.1% |
| Dylan Farrell | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 11.9% |
| Peter Hogan | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.