Race 1B

nicholas-j-barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Steven Pelissier 4.8% 6.5% 4.5% 8.0% 7.1% 8.1% 9.6% 8.6% 12.8% 13.7% 9.9% 6.4%
Tripp Cashel 7.3% 8.5% 7.2% 11.0% 8.4% 10.3% 11.0% 9.7% 10.0% 9.6% 5.7% 1.3%
Rian Bareuther 9.3% 6.4% 9.2% 8.5% 9.2% 10.2% 10.0% 11.9% 9.1% 9.9% 4.2% 2.1%
Michael Marshall 16.4% 15.7% 13.8% 12.8% 11.8% 8.5% 8.7% 5.7% 3.0% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2%
D.J. Hatch 11.0% 10.9% 12.8% 10.3% 10.2% 9.5% 10.2% 8.6% 6.4% 4.5% 4.5% 1.1%
Kelsey Wheeler 10.6% 9.9% 10.1% 10.8% 9.9% 12.2% 9.5% 8.6% 9.0% 4.6% 3.7% 1.1%
Matthew Schon 12.4% 12.9% 11.3% 11.8% 9.8% 10.8% 8.2% 9.2% 6.0% 4.9% 1.9% 0.8%
Ryan Mullins 16.7% 13.8% 13.0% 11.8% 11.4% 8.4% 9.3% 6.9% 3.9% 3.2% 1.4% 0.2%
David Pierce 2.9% 4.0% 6.1% 4.3% 7.7% 7.7% 7.5% 10.6% 12.8% 14.5% 15.3% 6.6%
Andrew McHenry 1.5% 2.4% 2.5% 2.9% 2.3% 2.8% 3.6% 6.2% 6.9% 11.4% 22.7% 34.8%
Ryan White 5.6% 7.0% 7.1% 5.8% 10.4% 8.8% 9.6% 9.5% 11.8% 10.7% 9.3% 4.4%
Ted Netland 1.5% 2.0% 2.4% 2.0% 1.8% 2.7% 2.8% 4.5% 8.3% 10.5% 20.5% 41.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.