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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.53+1.19vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University-0.27+3.23vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina-0.46+3.03vs Predicted
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4The Citadel-0.13+0.96vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University0.47-1.30vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.12+3.91vs Predicted
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7Duke University-1.61+1.73vs Predicted
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8Clemson University-0.11-3.10vs Predicted
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9Vanderbilt University-1.74-0.13vs Predicted
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10Vanderbilt University-1.48-1.77vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.68-2.15vs Predicted
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12University of South Carolina-1.93-2.57vs Predicted
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13University of Georgia-2.16-3.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.19North Carolina State University1.5341.4%1st Place
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5.23North Carolina State University-0.277.8%1st Place
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6.03University of North Carolina-0.465.8%1st Place
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4.96The Citadel-0.138.8%1st Place
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3.7North Carolina State University0.4716.1%1st Place
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9.91University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.121.2%1st Place
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8.73Duke University-1.612.1%1st Place
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4.9Clemson University-0.117.6%1st Place
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8.87Vanderbilt University-1.741.7%1st Place
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8.23Vanderbilt University-1.482.7%1st Place
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8.85University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.682.3%1st Place
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9.43University of South Carolina-1.931.1%1st Place
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9.97University of Georgia-2.161.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Usher | 41.4% | 26.0% | 16.0% | 9.1% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oscar Lubliner | 7.8% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| May Proctor | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Reese Blackwell | 8.8% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Marc Hauenstein | 16.1% | 18.6% | 18.2% | 14.9% | 12.4% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cade Boguslaw | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 17.0% | 22.1% |
| William Robertson | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 10.5% |
| Neil Bunce | 7.6% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 14.8% | 14.1% | 13.5% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Pablo Ginorio | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 14.1% | 11.5% | 10.8% |
| Mira Singh | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 5.9% |
| Abbi Barnette | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 14.6% | 11.0% |
| Sam Lookadoo | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 16.2% | 16.1% |
| William Adams | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 16.7% | 22.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.