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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.26+8.08vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College3.56+5.82vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.24+2.28vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.22+5.26vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+2.93vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.73+1.05vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.01+3.26vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93+2.78vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.61-1.52vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.39+2.79vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.90-0.42vs Predicted
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12Fordham University3.25-2.52vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.79-2.07vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.38-0.91vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.62-3.25vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.69-0.63vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island3.09-7.21vs Predicted
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18Boston University2.97-7.78vs Predicted
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19Connecticut College2.71-7.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.08Tufts University3.260.0%1st Place
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7.82Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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5.28Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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9.26U. S. Naval Academy3.220.0%1st Place
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7.93Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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7.05Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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10.26College of Charleston3.010.0%1st Place
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10.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.0%1st Place
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7.48Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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12.79Northeastern University2.390.0%1st Place
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10.58University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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9.48Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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10.93Brown University2.790.0%1st Place
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13.09Harvard University2.380.0%1st Place
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11.75Roger Williams University2.620.0%1st Place
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15.37Salve Regina University1.690.0%1st Place
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9.79University of Rhode Island3.090.0%1st Place
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10.22Boston University2.970.0%1st Place
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11.07Connecticut College2.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Tong | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Nicholas Baird | 15.2% | 13.9% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Peter Hogan | 4.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Charles Miller | 6.5% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Charles Sinks | 11.0% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Christophe Killian | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| John Wehner | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 11.3% |
| William Crary | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.7% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 5.1% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% |
| Sam Alexander | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.3% |
| Dylan Farrell | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 13.5% | 13.0% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% |
| Brian Baker | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 13.3% | 37.5% |
| Dakota Northrup | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 1.7% |
| Robby Gearon | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.3% |
| Walter Florio | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 4.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.