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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.01+9.22vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.73+5.12vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+4.78vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College3.56+3.77vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.38+8.22vs Predicted
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6Yale University4.24-0.77vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.90+3.72vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.09+2.05vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.39+3.64vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.26-1.00vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.62+0.99vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.22-2.46vs Predicted
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13Fordham University3.25-4.15vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.61-6.30vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.97-4.84vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93-5.63vs Predicted
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17Brown University2.79-5.86vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College2.71-6.58vs Predicted
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19Salve Regina University1.69-3.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.22College of Charleston3.010.0%1st Place
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7.12Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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7.78Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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7.77Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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13.22Harvard University2.380.0%1st Place
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5.23Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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10.72University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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10.05University of Rhode Island3.090.0%1st Place
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12.64Northeastern University2.390.0%1st Place
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9.0Tufts University3.260.1%1st Place
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11.99Roger Williams University2.620.0%1st Place
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9.54U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
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8.85Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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7.7Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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10.16Boston University2.970.0%1st Place
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10.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.0%1st Place
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11.14Brown University2.790.0%1st Place
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11.42Connecticut College2.710.0%1st Place
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15.08Salve Regina University1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christophe Killian | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% |
| Charles Sinks | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Charles Miller | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 6.3% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Dylan Farrell | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 14.0% |
| Nicholas Baird | 16.4% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Crary | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.6% |
| Dakota Northrup | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.8% |
| John Wehner | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 12.2% |
| Alexander Tong | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.9% |
| Peter Hogan | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Robby Gearon | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 3.2% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% |
| Sam Alexander | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 4.6% |
| Walter Florio | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 6.1% |
| Brian Baker | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 33.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.