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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+6.64vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.24+3.28vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.73+4.15vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.90+6.74vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.71+6.78vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College3.56+1.69vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.09+2.89vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93+2.82vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.26-0.14vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.01+0.18vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.22-1.80vs Predicted
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12Fordham University3.25-2.51vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.79-2.11vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.62-1.91vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.38-2.29vs Predicted
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16Boston University2.97-5.77vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.39-4.18vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College3.61-10.57vs Predicted
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19Salve Regina University1.69-3.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.64Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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5.28Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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7.15Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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10.74University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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11.78Connecticut College2.710.0%1st Place
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7.69Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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9.89University of Rhode Island3.090.0%1st Place
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10.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.0%1st Place
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8.86Tufts University3.260.1%1st Place
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10.18College of Charleston3.010.0%1st Place
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9.2U. S. Naval Academy3.220.0%1st Place
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9.49Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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10.89Brown University2.790.0%1st Place
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12.09Roger Williams University2.620.0%1st Place
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12.71Harvard University2.380.0%1st Place
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10.23Boston University2.970.0%1st Place
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12.82Northeastern University2.390.0%1st Place
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7.43Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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15.09Salve Regina University1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Miller | 5.5% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% |
| Nicholas Baird | 15.3% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Charles Sinks | 9.0% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| William Crary | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 3.4% |
| Walter Florio | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 6.3% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 9.1% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Dakota Northrup | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.3% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 3.8% |
| Alexander Tong | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| Christophe Killian | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.7% |
| Peter Hogan | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Sam Alexander | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 8.3% |
| Dylan Farrell | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 14.1% |
| Robby Gearon | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 2.4% |
| John Wehner | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 13.5% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Brian Baker | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 33.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.