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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.26+8.14vs Predicted
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2Fordham University3.25+7.24vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.73+4.14vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.09+5.81vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93+5.77vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College3.56+1.81vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.61+0.63vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.22+1.56vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.62+2.70vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.39+2.79vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-3.36vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.71-0.05vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.97-2.90vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.90-3.19vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.69+0.12vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston3.01-5.91vs Predicted
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17Brown University2.79-5.85vs Predicted
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18Yale University4.24-12.90vs Predicted
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19Harvard University2.38-6.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.14Tufts University3.260.0%1st Place
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9.24Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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7.14Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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9.81University of Rhode Island3.090.0%1st Place
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10.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.0%1st Place
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7.81Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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7.63Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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9.56U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
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11.7Roger Williams University2.620.0%1st Place
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12.79Northeastern University2.390.0%1st Place
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7.64Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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11.95Connecticut College2.710.0%1st Place
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10.1Boston University2.970.0%1st Place
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10.81University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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15.12Salve Regina University1.690.0%1st Place
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10.09College of Charleston3.010.0%1st Place
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11.15Brown University2.790.0%1st Place
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5.1Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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12.47Harvard University2.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Tong | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.8% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Charles Sinks | 9.8% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% |
| Dakota Northrup | 3.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.8% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.4% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 9.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Peter Hogan | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.5% |
| John Wehner | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 12.9% | 11.0% |
| Charles Miller | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% |
| Walter Florio | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.3% |
| Robby Gearon | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.0% |
| William Crary | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 3.3% |
| Brian Baker | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 12.3% | 37.2% |
| Christophe Killian | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.6% |
| Sam Alexander | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 4.4% |
| Nicholas Baird | 14.9% | 13.3% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Farrell | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 10.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.