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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.24+4.20vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.01+8.23vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.38+9.93vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.62+7.98vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+2.94vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.73+1.05vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College3.56+0.89vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.90+2.88vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.61-1.47vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.22-0.82vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.26-1.99vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.79-0.47vs Predicted
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13Fordham University3.25-4.10vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93-3.35vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.97-4.74vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.71-4.60vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.69-1.72vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University2.39-5.24vs Predicted
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19University of Rhode Island3.09-9.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.2Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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10.23College of Charleston3.010.1%1st Place
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12.93Harvard University2.380.0%1st Place
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11.98Roger Williams University2.620.0%1st Place
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7.94Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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7.05Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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7.89Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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10.88University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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7.53Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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9.18U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
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9.01Tufts University3.260.1%1st Place
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11.53Brown University2.790.0%1st Place
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8.9Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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10.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.0%1st Place
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10.26Boston University2.970.0%1st Place
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11.4Connecticut College2.710.0%1st Place
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15.28Salve Regina University1.690.0%1st Place
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12.76Northeastern University2.390.0%1st Place
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9.41University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Baird | 13.3% | 15.4% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christophe Killian | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 2.1% |
| Dylan Farrell | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 13.7% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 1.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 6.7% |
| Charles Miller | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Charles Sinks | 10.3% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| William Crary | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.4% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Peter Hogan | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% |
| Alexander Tong | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% |
| Sam Alexander | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 4.2% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.8% |
| Robby Gearon | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 3.5% |
| Walter Florio | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.4% |
| Brian Baker | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 13.5% | 36.8% |
| John Wehner | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 12.4% | 11.6% |
| Dakota Northrup | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.