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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.61+6.58vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.73+5.08vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.97+7.38vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.09+5.83vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.90+5.94vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.38+6.68vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.71+4.54vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.26+1.37vs Predicted
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9Yale University4.24-3.88vs Predicted
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10Fordham University3.25-0.95vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93-0.42vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.22-2.44vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.39-0.36vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-6.18vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston3.01-4.90vs Predicted
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16Brown University2.79-4.95vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College3.56-9.22vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University2.62-6.16vs Predicted
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19Salve Regina University1.69-3.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.58Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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7.08Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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10.38Boston University2.970.0%1st Place
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9.83University of Rhode Island3.090.0%1st Place
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10.94University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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12.68Harvard University2.380.0%1st Place
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11.54Connecticut College2.710.0%1st Place
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9.37Tufts University3.260.1%1st Place
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5.12Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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9.05Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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10.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.0%1st Place
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9.56U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
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12.64Northeastern University2.390.0%1st Place
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7.82Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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10.1College of Charleston3.010.0%1st Place
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11.05Brown University2.790.0%1st Place
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7.78Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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11.84Roger Williams University2.620.0%1st Place
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15.07Salve Regina University1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Lalumiere | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Charles Sinks | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Robby Gearon | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% |
| Dakota Northrup | 3.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.1% |
| William Crary | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.0% |
| Dylan Farrell | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 12.7% |
| Walter Florio | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 5.5% |
| Alexander Tong | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Nicholas Baird | 17.1% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 3.5% |
| Peter Hogan | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| John Wehner | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 12.3% |
| Charles Miller | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% |
| Christophe Killian | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% |
| Sam Alexander | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.8% |
| Brian Baker | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 13.9% | 33.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.