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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.71+10.48vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.61+5.66vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.24+2.27vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.97+6.40vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.09+5.08vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.90+4.53vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College3.56+0.86vs Predicted
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8Fordham University3.25+1.41vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-1.46vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.62+1.83vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.79+0.11vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.39+1.24vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.26-4.16vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy3.22-4.62vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.38-2.33vs Predicted
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16Boston College3.73-9.01vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston3.01-6.80vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93-7.56vs Predicted
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19Salve Regina University1.69-3.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.48Connecticut College2.710.0%1st Place
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7.66Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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5.27Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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10.4Boston University2.970.0%1st Place
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10.08University of Rhode Island3.090.0%1st Place
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10.53University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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7.86Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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9.41Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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7.54Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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11.83Roger Williams University2.620.0%1st Place
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11.11Brown University2.790.0%1st Place
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13.24Northeastern University2.390.0%1st Place
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8.84Tufts University3.260.1%1st Place
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9.38U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
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12.67Harvard University2.380.0%1st Place
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6.99Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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10.2College of Charleston3.010.0%1st Place
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10.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.0%1st Place
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15.06Salve Regina University1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walter Florio | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.3% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 8.9% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Baird | 14.7% | 14.6% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Robby Gearon | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.6% |
| Dakota Northrup | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 1.7% |
| William Crary | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Charles Miller | 8.2% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 6.7% |
| Sam Alexander | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% |
| John Wehner | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 12.5% | 13.8% |
| Alexander Tong | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Peter Hogan | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Dylan Farrell | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 14.2% |
| Charles Sinks | 7.9% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% |
| Christophe Killian | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.1% |
| Brian Baker | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 15.6% | 32.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.