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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College3.56+6.79vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+5.75vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.73+4.23vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.38+8.93vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.97+5.64vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.26+3.03vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.61+0.62vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.09+2.08vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.01+0.97vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.69+5.30vs Predicted
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11Yale University4.24-5.80vs Predicted
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12Fordham University3.25-2.51vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.90-2.59vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.39-0.97vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.71-3.65vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.62-4.15vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93-6.51vs Predicted
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18Brown University2.79-6.99vs Predicted
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19U. S. Naval Academy3.22-10.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.79Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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7.75Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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7.23Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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12.93Harvard University2.380.0%1st Place
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10.64Boston University2.970.0%1st Place
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9.03Tufts University3.260.1%1st Place
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7.62Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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10.08University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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9.97College of Charleston3.010.0%1st Place
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15.3Salve Regina University1.690.0%1st Place
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5.2Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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9.49Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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10.41University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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13.03Northeastern University2.390.0%1st Place
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11.35Connecticut College2.710.0%1st Place
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11.85Roger Williams University2.620.0%1st Place
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10.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.0%1st Place
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11.01Brown University2.790.0%1st Place
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8.82U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Kaplan | 5.7% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Charles Miller | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Charles Sinks | 8.8% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Dylan Farrell | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 11.8% |
| Robby Gearon | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.1% |
| Alexander Tong | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Dakota Northrup | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% |
| Christophe Killian | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.5% |
| Brian Baker | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 37.5% |
| Nicholas Baird | 13.8% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| William Crary | 4.9% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.2% |
| John Wehner | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 12.6% |
| Walter Florio | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 5.8% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 6.6% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 3.0% |
| Sam Alexander | 3.5% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% |
| Peter Hogan | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.