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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.53+5.46vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+4.16vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.92+6.05vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.30+3.36vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.19+3.05vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.20+1.77vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.69+3.00vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.81+1.68vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.24-1.55vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.19+1.99vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.05-2.68vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.51-0.94vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.97-4.50vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.87-0.51vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston2.49-4.30vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island1.83-2.57vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.39-2.11vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University1.42-3.06vs Predicted
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19Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.40-8.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.46Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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6.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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9.05Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
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7.36U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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8.05Boston College3.190.1%1st Place
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7.77Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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10.0Brown University2.690.0%1st Place
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9.68Connecticut College2.810.1%1st Place
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7.45Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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11.99University of Vermont2.190.0%1st Place
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8.32Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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11.06Boston University2.510.0%1st Place
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8.5Roger Williams University2.970.1%1st Place
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13.49Fordham University1.870.0%1st Place
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10.7College of Charleston2.490.0%1st Place
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13.43University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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14.89Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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14.94Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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10.72Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Williford | 8.8% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Stewart | 11.6% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Hawk | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Parker Loftus | 7.9% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Maxwell Simmons | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Franco Bilik | 4.1% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 1.3% |
| Carter Pemberton | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Cameron Holley | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Benjamin Craig | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 5.4% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Alex Moreno | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 3.3% |
| Kendal Richardson | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Anders Ekholm | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 14.4% | 12.4% |
| Robert Porter | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 3.3% |
| Peter Girard | 1.7% | 1.1% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 13.8% | 12.5% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 15.6% | 27.5% |
| Chris Colbeth | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 15.4% | 26.0% |
| Pierre Thibodeau | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.