Race 2B

nicholas-j-barnett

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Michael Marshall 16.6% 15.4% 11.7% 13.9% 11.6% 10.5% 7.0% 5.2% 4.7% 2.4% 1.0% 0.0%
Rian Bareuther 6.8% 8.6% 9.3% 8.4% 9.8% 9.9% 9.7% 11.8% 10.4% 7.7% 5.9% 1.7%
Ryan White 7.2% 5.4% 7.2% 7.8% 7.6% 8.6% 10.0% 11.5% 11.4% 12.8% 7.3% 3.2%
Tripp Cashel 6.3% 9.3% 8.5% 8.4% 10.4% 8.9% 10.3% 10.4% 10.2% 9.8% 5.2% 2.3%
Matthew Schon 11.5% 11.3% 13.0% 11.1% 11.2% 9.4% 10.0% 8.0% 5.6% 5.3% 3.1% 0.5%
D.J. Hatch 11.2% 10.6% 10.1% 12.0% 10.1% 10.7% 9.6% 9.0% 8.5% 4.9% 2.8% 0.5%
David Pierce 4.6% 4.5% 5.4% 5.3% 6.0% 7.3% 8.1% 8.4% 11.7% 16.2% 13.9% 8.6%
Steven Pelissier 6.6% 5.5% 5.4% 7.9% 7.5% 7.7% 10.5% 9.6% 11.6% 11.8% 10.9% 5.0%
Ryan Mullins 15.7% 15.3% 15.6% 10.8% 10.6% 10.1% 8.1% 6.5% 4.0% 2.7% 0.6% 0.0%
Kelsey Wheeler 10.2% 10.5% 10.4% 10.6% 10.5% 10.9% 10.6% 9.6% 6.9% 5.3% 3.7% 0.8%
Andrew McHenry 2.2% 1.2% 1.8% 1.3% 2.6% 3.8% 3.1% 5.8% 7.6% 10.7% 23.3% 36.6%
Ted Netland 1.1% 2.4% 1.6% 2.5% 2.1% 2.2% 3.0% 4.2% 7.4% 10.4% 22.3% 40.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.