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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.53+1.23vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University0.47+1.67vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina-0.46+3.09vs Predicted
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4Clemson University-0.11+0.88vs Predicted
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5The Citadel-0.130.00vs Predicted
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6University of South Carolina-1.93+3.33vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University-0.27-1.84vs Predicted
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8Duke University-1.61+0.85vs Predicted
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9University of Georgia-2.16+0.90vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.12-0.15vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.68-2.20vs Predicted
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12Vanderbilt University-1.74-3.13vs Predicted
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13Vanderbilt University-1.48-4.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.23North Carolina State University1.5340.3%1st Place
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3.67North Carolina State University0.4716.6%1st Place
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6.09University of North Carolina-0.465.3%1st Place
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4.88Clemson University-0.119.2%1st Place
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5.0The Citadel-0.138.1%1st Place
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9.33University of South Carolina-1.931.7%1st Place
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5.16North Carolina State University-0.278.2%1st Place
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8.85Duke University-1.611.5%1st Place
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9.9University of Georgia-2.161.2%1st Place
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9.85University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.121.4%1st Place
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8.8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.682.1%1st Place
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8.87Vanderbilt University-1.742.2%1st Place
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8.39Vanderbilt University-1.482.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Usher | 40.3% | 26.2% | 16.7% | 9.2% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marc Hauenstein | 16.6% | 18.6% | 17.9% | 14.4% | 12.9% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| May Proctor | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Neil Bunce | 9.2% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 14.2% | 13.1% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Reese Blackwell | 8.1% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sam Lookadoo | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 14.1% | 14.3% | 16.1% |
| Oscar Lubliner | 8.2% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| William Robertson | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 12.0% | 10.4% |
| William Adams | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 16.9% | 22.7% |
| Cade Boguslaw | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 17.6% | 22.2% |
| Abbi Barnette | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 10.1% |
| Pablo Ginorio | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 13.9% | 12.7% | 10.3% |
| Mira Singh | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 7.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.