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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
5.0
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.97+7.75vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.30+5.43vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.81+6.49vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.83+9.53vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.87+8.65vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.05+2.30vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.19+5.12vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.24-0.11vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.40+1.91vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.92-1.21vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.53-4.58vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston2.49-0.81vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.20-5.51vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-7.79vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.51-4.44vs Predicted
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16Boston College3.19-8.33vs Predicted
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17Brown University2.69-7.04vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University1.42-3.07vs Predicted
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19Salve Regina University1.39-4.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.75Roger Williams University2.970.1%1st Place
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7.43U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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9.49Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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13.53University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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13.65Fordham University1.870.0%1st Place
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8.3Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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12.12University of Vermont2.190.0%1st Place
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7.89Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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10.91Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.400.0%1st Place
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8.79Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
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6.42Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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11.19College of Charleston2.490.0%1st Place
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7.49Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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6.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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10.56Boston University2.510.0%1st Place
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7.67Boston College3.190.1%1st Place
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9.96Brown University2.690.0%1st Place
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14.93Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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14.73Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendal Richardson | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Parker Loftus | 9.0% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Carter Pemberton | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% |
| Peter Girard | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 13.9% |
| Anders Ekholm | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 14.5% | 13.0% |
| Casey Klingler | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Benjamin Craig | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 6.0% |
| Cameron Holley | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Pierre Thibodeau | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.0% |
| William Hawk | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Christopher Williford | 10.1% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Robert Porter | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 2.8% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Stewart | 10.4% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Moreno | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 3.4% |
| Maxwell Simmons | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Franco Bilik | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.7% |
| Chris Colbeth | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 14.0% | 26.8% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 16.7% | 24.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.