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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.97+7.74vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.92+6.94vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.05+5.46vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.69+6.00vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.49+6.09vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.53+0.45vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.40+4.19vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.19+0.07vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-3.00vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.51+0.58vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.30-3.72vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.81-2.26vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.42+1.74vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.20-6.13vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.87-1.84vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island1.83-2.57vs Predicted
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17Tufts University3.24-9.41vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University1.39-3.01vs Predicted
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19University of Vermont2.19-7.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.74Roger Williams University2.970.1%1st Place
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8.94Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
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8.46Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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10.0Brown University2.690.0%1st Place
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11.09College of Charleston2.490.0%1st Place
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6.45Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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11.19Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.400.0%1st Place
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8.07Boston College3.190.1%1st Place
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6.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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10.58Boston University2.510.0%1st Place
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7.28U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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9.74Connecticut College2.810.1%1st Place
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14.74Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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7.87Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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13.16Fordham University1.870.0%1st Place
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13.43University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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7.59Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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14.99Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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11.69University of Vermont2.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendal Richardson | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| William Hawk | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Casey Klingler | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% |
| Franco Bilik | 3.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Robert Porter | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 2.9% |
| Christopher Williford | 12.2% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Pierre Thibodeau | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.7% |
| Maxwell Simmons | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Alexander Stewart | 11.7% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Alex Moreno | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 1.9% |
| Parker Loftus | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Carter Pemberton | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Chris Colbeth | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 12.0% | 15.4% | 25.8% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Anders Ekholm | 2.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 13.9% |
| Peter Girard | 1.9% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 13.2% |
| Cameron Holley | 7.0% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Jennifer Killian | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 16.4% | 26.1% |
| Benjamin Craig | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 5.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.