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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.49+9.79vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.53+4.51vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.19+4.87vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.92+4.96vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.30+2.55vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.87+7.16vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.51+3.78vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.81+1.74vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.20-1.39vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.19+2.02vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.97-2.23vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.05-3.29vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.39+1.84vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-7.77vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.42-0.21vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.40-4.87vs Predicted
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17Tufts University3.24-9.42vs Predicted
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18Brown University2.69-8.16vs Predicted
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19University of Rhode Island1.83-5.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.79College of Charleston2.490.0%1st Place
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6.51Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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7.87Boston College3.190.1%1st Place
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8.96Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
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7.55U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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13.16Fordham University1.870.0%1st Place
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10.78Boston University2.510.0%1st Place
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9.74Connecticut College2.810.1%1st Place
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7.61Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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12.02University of Vermont2.190.0%1st Place
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8.77Roger Williams University2.970.1%1st Place
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8.71Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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14.84Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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6.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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14.79Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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11.13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.400.0%1st Place
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7.58Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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9.84Brown University2.690.0%1st Place
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13.11University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Porter | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 2.9% |
| Christopher Williford | 11.7% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Maxwell Simmons | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| William Hawk | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Parker Loftus | 6.0% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Anders Ekholm | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 13.7% | 13.1% |
| Alex Moreno | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% |
| Carter Pemberton | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Benjamin Craig | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 5.2% |
| Kendal Richardson | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 16.4% | 26.7% |
| Alexander Stewart | 10.3% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Chris Colbeth | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 15.6% | 26.9% |
| Pierre Thibodeau | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 4.1% |
| Cameron Holley | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Franco Bilik | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 1.4% |
| Peter Girard | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 11.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.