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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+5.16vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.53+4.53vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.19+9.15vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.51+6.75vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.83+8.82vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.92+2.88vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.81+2.45vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.97+1.00vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.69+0.78vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.19-2.30vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.42+4.05vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.24-4.06vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.05-4.91vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy3.30-6.54vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.39-0.19vs Predicted
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16Harvard University3.20-8.32vs Predicted
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17Fordham University1.87-3.71vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.40-6.87vs Predicted
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19College of Charleston2.49-8.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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6.53Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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12.15University of Vermont2.190.0%1st Place
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10.75Boston University2.510.0%1st Place
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13.82University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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8.88Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
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9.45Connecticut College2.810.1%1st Place
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9.0Roger Williams University2.970.1%1st Place
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9.78Brown University2.690.0%1st Place
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7.7Boston College3.190.1%1st Place
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15.05Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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7.94Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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8.09Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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7.46U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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14.81Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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7.68Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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13.29Fordham University1.870.0%1st Place
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11.13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.400.0%1st Place
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10.35College of Charleston2.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Stewart | 10.0% | 12.7% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Williford | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Benjamin Craig | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 7.1% |
| Alex Moreno | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.3% |
| Peter Girard | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 9.5% | 13.7% | 14.3% | 12.9% |
| William Hawk | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Carter Pemberton | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
| Kendal Richardson | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Franco Bilik | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.3% |
| Maxwell Simmons | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Chris Colbeth | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 11.5% | 16.6% | 26.1% |
| Cameron Holley | 7.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Casey Klingler | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Parker Loftus | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 15.2% | 27.9% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Anders Ekholm | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 14.7% | 11.9% |
| Pierre Thibodeau | 3.2% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 3.6% |
| Robert Porter | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.