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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+5.23vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.40+9.28vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.49+8.02vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.19+3.88vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.53+1.71vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.51+4.74vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.81+2.55vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.24-0.06vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.20-1.29vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.30-2.70vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.97-2.22vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.19+0.50vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.87+0.22vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.39+1.28vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.42-0.18vs Predicted
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16Brown University2.69-6.01vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.92-8.01vs Predicted
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18Yale University3.05-9.71vs Predicted
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19University of Vermont2.19-7.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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11.28Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.400.0%1st Place
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11.02College of Charleston2.490.0%1st Place
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7.88Boston College3.190.1%1st Place
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6.71Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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10.74Boston University2.510.0%1st Place
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9.55Connecticut College2.810.1%1st Place
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7.94Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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7.71Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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7.3U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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8.78Roger Williams University2.970.1%1st Place
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12.5University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
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13.22Fordham University1.870.0%1st Place
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15.28Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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14.82Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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9.99Brown University2.690.0%1st Place
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8.99Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
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8.29Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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11.75University of Vermont2.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Stewart | 10.0% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Pierre Thibodeau | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 4.2% |
| Robert Porter | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 3.5% |
| Maxwell Simmons | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Christopher Williford | 8.1% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alex Moreno | 4.4% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% |
| Carter Pemberton | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Cameron Holley | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Parker Loftus | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Kendal Richardson | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Patrick Penwell | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 9.0% | 6.8% |
| Anders Ekholm | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 11.6% | 13.5% | 11.8% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 16.9% | 29.8% |
| Chris Colbeth | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 14.7% | 28.6% |
| Franco Bilik | 4.9% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| William Hawk | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Benjamin Craig | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 5.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.