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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.76+7.91vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University4.51+3.83vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.68+6.21vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston4.61+1.32vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80+3.49vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60+3.36vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.08+4.55vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.50+1.61vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii3.36+1.36vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32+0.82vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.50-1.06vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.53-2.00vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.52-3.48vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.67-5.28vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University3.76-6.40vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48-6.11vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan2.35-2.62vs Predicted
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18Tufts University3.29-7.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.91Dartmouth College3.760.1%1st Place
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5.83Georgetown University4.510.1%1st Place
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9.21Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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5.32College of Charleston4.610.1%1st Place
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8.49St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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9.36Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
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11.55Stanford University3.080.0%1st Place
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9.61U. S. Naval Academy3.500.0%1st Place
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10.36University of Hawaii3.360.0%1st Place
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10.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.0%1st Place
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9.94Boston College3.500.0%1st Place
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10.0Yale University3.530.0%1st Place
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9.52Brown University3.520.1%1st Place
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8.72Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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8.6Old Dominion University3.760.1%1st Place
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9.89St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.0%1st Place
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14.38University of Michigan2.350.0%1st Place
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10.5Tufts University3.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rebecca Dellenbaugh | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 2.2% |
| Sydney Bolger | 10.3% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Maggie Shea | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 2.3% |
| Allison Blecher | 14.7% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Megan Magill | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.3% |
| Caroline Patten | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% |
| Eliza Richartz | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 10.3% |
| Christina Pryne | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 2.7% |
| Hannah Tuson-Turner | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 3.9% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.1% |
| Emily Maxwell | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% |
| Sarah Lihan | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% |
| Charlotte Lipschitz | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% |
| Emily Lambert | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.2% |
| Stephanie Roble | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 1.3% |
| Mayumi Roller | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 4.6% |
| Christina Baker | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 13.3% | 38.1% |
| Catherine Swanson | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 5.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.