Race 3B

nicholas-j-barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Ryan White 6.0% 6.7% 6.5% 8.5% 6.9% 8.1% 10.7% 10.9% 12.8% 10.4% 8.4% 4.1%
Michael Marshall 15.7% 16.5% 13.1% 13.7% 11.4% 9.2% 8.1% 5.2% 4.2% 2.4% 0.5% 0.0%
Rian Bareuther 9.4% 6.4% 9.1% 7.9% 8.7% 10.3% 9.5% 11.8% 10.0% 9.8% 5.3% 1.8%
Kelsey Wheeler 8.9% 11.1% 11.4% 11.2% 11.2% 9.9% 9.6% 9.1% 7.0% 6.1% 3.5% 1.0%
Steven Pelissier 4.6% 6.9% 5.9% 7.5% 7.5% 8.1% 9.9% 8.9% 12.3% 11.5% 11.7% 5.2%
Ryan Mullins 14.9% 14.4% 12.8% 12.8% 10.7% 10.7% 7.8% 6.6% 5.1% 2.7% 1.5% 0.0%
Matthew Schon 13.2% 11.3% 11.6% 10.2% 11.6% 10.1% 8.9% 9.3% 6.2% 4.4% 2.3% 0.9%
D.J. Hatch 12.2% 11.8% 11.6% 9.6% 10.2% 9.8% 9.6% 9.8% 6.8% 4.7% 3.2% 0.7%
Tripp Cashel 7.0% 7.0% 10.9% 9.0% 10.5% 10.0% 11.0% 10.3% 10.3% 9.0% 4.1% 0.9%
David Pierce 4.6% 4.6% 4.7% 5.2% 6.3% 6.6% 8.6% 9.8% 11.3% 14.8% 14.9% 8.6%
Andrew McHenry 2.0% 1.4% 1.1% 1.9% 2.7% 3.9% 3.6% 4.6% 6.9% 10.6% 25.0% 36.3%
Ted Netland 1.5% 1.9% 1.3% 2.5% 2.3% 3.3% 2.7% 3.7% 7.1% 13.6% 19.6% 40.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.