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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.53+5.63vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.20+6.10vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.49+8.24vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+2.26vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.05+3.85vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.40+5.31vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.87+6.71vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.97+1.25vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.19+3.16vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.30-2.59vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.92-1.82vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.81-1.98vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.51-2.25vs Predicted
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14Boston College3.19-5.86vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.69-4.85vs Predicted
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16Tufts University3.24-8.30vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.19-4.66vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University1.39-2.63vs Predicted
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19Northeastern University2.31-7.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.63Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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8.1Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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11.24College of Charleston2.490.0%1st Place
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6.26Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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8.85Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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11.31Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.400.0%1st Place
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13.71Fordham University1.870.0%1st Place
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9.25Roger Williams University2.970.1%1st Place
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12.16University of Vermont2.190.0%1st Place
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7.41U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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9.18Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
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10.02Connecticut College2.810.1%1st Place
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10.75Boston University2.510.0%1st Place
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8.14Boston College3.190.1%1st Place
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10.15Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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7.7Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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12.34University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
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15.37Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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11.43Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Williford | 9.7% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Robert Porter | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 4.7% |
| Alexander Stewart | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Pierre Thibodeau | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% |
| Anders Ekholm | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 14.1% | 16.4% |
| Kendal Richardson | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Benjamin Craig | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 11.4% | 9.0% |
| Parker Loftus | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| William Hawk | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
| Carter Pemberton | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 1.6% |
| Alex Moreno | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.3% |
| Maxwell Simmons | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Franco Bilik | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 2.9% |
| Cameron Holley | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Patrick Penwell | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 9.2% |
| Jennifer Killian | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 12.5% | 35.6% |
| Kyle Riggs | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.