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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.19+6.86vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.19+10.20vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+3.30vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.53+2.49vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.24+2.84vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.81+3.46vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.20+0.87vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.30-0.37vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.92-0.16vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.97-1.31vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.19+1.16vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.05-3.25vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.69-3.20vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.40-2.64vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.51-4.31vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston2.49-5.25vs Predicted
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17Fordham University1.87-3.58vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University1.39-2.84vs Predicted
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19Northeastern University1.42-4.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.86Boston College3.190.1%1st Place
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12.2University of Vermont2.190.0%1st Place
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6.3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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6.49Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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7.84Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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9.46Connecticut College2.810.1%1st Place
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7.87Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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7.63U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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8.84Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
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8.69Roger Williams University2.970.1%1st Place
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12.16University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
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8.75Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.8Brown University2.690.0%1st Place
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11.36Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.400.0%1st Place
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10.69Boston University2.510.0%1st Place
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10.75College of Charleston2.490.0%1st Place
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13.42Fordham University1.870.0%1st Place
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15.16Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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14.75Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxwell Simmons | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Benjamin Craig | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 6.7% |
| Alexander Stewart | 11.7% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Williford | 9.8% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Holley | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Carter Pemberton | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.7% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Parker Loftus | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| William Hawk | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% |
| Kendal Richardson | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Patrick Penwell | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 6.4% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Franco Bilik | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| Pierre Thibodeau | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 3.7% |
| Alex Moreno | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 3.4% |
| Robert Porter | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 2.5% |
| Anders Ekholm | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 13.1% | 14.5% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 14.1% | 30.4% |
| Chris Colbeth | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 15.6% | 25.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.