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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.72+7.15vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+7.74vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University2.21+11.75vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.29+6.19vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.50+4.14vs Predicted
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6George Washington University3.49+3.33vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.77+1.31vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.80+4.11vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.49+0.16vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.19+0.59vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.67-2.44vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69-3.44vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-5.97vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan1.84+1.99vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College2.69-2.22vs Predicted
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16Jacksonville University2.38-1.96vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston3.84-9.50vs Predicted
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18University of Virginia1.63-1.29vs Predicted
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19Harvard University3.60-10.29vs Predicted
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20U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-11.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.15Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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9.74U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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14.75Christopher Newport University2.210.0%1st Place
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10.19Georgetown University3.290.1%1st Place
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9.14Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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9.33George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.31Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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12.11University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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9.16Tufts University3.490.0%1st Place
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10.59Dartmouth College3.190.0%1st Place
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8.56U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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8.56St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
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7.03Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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15.99University of Michigan1.840.0%1st Place
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12.78SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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14.04Jacksonville University2.380.0%1st Place
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7.5College of Charleston3.840.1%1st Place
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16.71University of Virginia1.630.0%1st Place
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8.71Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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8.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Kiss | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Charles Lomax | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Austin Powers | 2.0% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 15.2% | 16.7% |
| AJ Reiter | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 2.9% |
| John Rolander | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Duncan Williford | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Patrick Snow | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Bradley Adam | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Mason Wolters | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 13.2% | 17.2% | 25.4% |
| Kyle Comerford | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 5.9% |
| Daniel Lawless | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 14.5% | 9.7% |
| Jack Cusick | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Singh | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 18.8% | 34.5% |
| Nick Sertl | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Nikole Barnes | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.