Race 4B

nicholas-j-barnett

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Michael Marshall 16.7% 14.1% 14.7% 12.5% 11.3% 10.3% 7.4% 5.3% 4.1% 2.9% 0.7% 0.0%
Rian Bareuther 7.0% 8.5% 8.9% 9.7% 9.4% 8.4% 11.9% 9.9% 11.2% 7.9% 6.1% 1.1%
Kelsey Wheeler 11.5% 7.9% 10.9% 10.2% 10.0% 10.8% 12.3% 9.7% 7.7% 4.8% 2.9% 1.3%
Steven Pelissier 4.7% 4.8% 6.4% 7.1% 7.8% 9.3% 9.5% 11.4% 10.6% 13.2% 10.1% 5.1%
Ryan White 6.2% 7.0% 7.3% 6.4% 9.4% 9.9% 9.4% 9.6% 10.8% 12.1% 7.7% 4.2%
D.J. Hatch 11.6% 10.8% 9.7% 10.9% 11.3% 11.6% 8.6% 10.0% 6.8% 5.5% 2.2% 1.0%
Tripp Cashel 8.0% 8.6% 8.9% 9.4% 10.0% 8.3% 9.6% 10.6% 9.8% 10.0% 5.1% 1.7%
Matthew Schon 13.0% 13.0% 10.5% 11.2% 9.6% 10.6% 8.8% 7.8% 7.9% 4.1% 2.6% 0.9%
Ryan Mullins 14.7% 16.5% 14.2% 12.9% 10.2% 9.8% 7.4% 7.0% 4.0% 2.8% 0.5% 0.0%
Andrew McHenry 2.1% 2.4% 1.9% 2.5% 3.1% 2.3% 4.4% 4.4% 8.6% 10.4% 23.9% 34.0%
David Pierce 3.5% 4.0% 4.6% 5.3% 5.4% 6.7% 8.1% 9.4% 10.7% 15.8% 15.8% 10.7%
Ted Netland 1.0% 2.4% 2.0% 1.9% 2.5% 2.0% 2.6% 4.9% 7.8% 10.5% 22.4% 40.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.