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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University3.49+8.19vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.67+6.39vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.77+5.17vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+2.69vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.84+2.65vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.19+4.73vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.72+1.50vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+0.32vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.49+0.13vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College2.69+2.88vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-1.23vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.60-3.07vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.80-0.29vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University2.38+0.07vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University3.50-5.86vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69-7.68vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan1.84-1.09vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University3.29-7.82vs Predicted
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19Christopher Newport University2.21-4.33vs Predicted
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20University of Virginia1.63-3.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.19George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.39U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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8.17Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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6.69Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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7.65College of Charleston3.840.1%1st Place
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10.73Dartmouth College3.190.0%1st Place
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8.5Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.32U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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9.13Tufts University3.490.0%1st Place
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12.88SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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9.77U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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8.93Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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12.71University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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14.07Jacksonville University2.380.0%1st Place
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9.14Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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8.32St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
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15.91University of Michigan1.840.0%1st Place
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10.18Georgetown University3.290.0%1st Place
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14.67Christopher Newport University2.210.0%1st Place
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16.67University of Virginia1.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Shanahan | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Patrick Snow | 8.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 10.2% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jack Cusick | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Duncan Williford | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Joseph Kiss | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Nikole Barnes | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| John Rolander | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Comerford | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 4.7% |
| Charles Lomax | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Nick Sertl | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 7.8% | 4.6% |
| Daniel Lawless | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 13.9% | 11.7% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Bradley Adam | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Mason Wolters | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 18.9% | 24.2% |
| AJ Reiter | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Austin Powers | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 12.9% | 15.0% | 14.2% |
| Alexander Singh | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 18.4% | 34.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.